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  São Paulo: long term scenarios
   Csaba Deák                                                10.8.21
Cambridge symposium on City Region Perspectives
  .2010, Sep 6-7
  Economic development
  2.1  National product and per capita income

Neoliberalism
Effects as below, but this same recent 'round' of denationallization (under privatization) --allows ~5% growth

    

Scenarios for PITU 2025: Growth of per capita income, 2005

 

grate(inc)

re-distrib

∆(10) Base

∆(10a) SM

 

% aa.

% aa.

% em 10 a.

% em 10 a.

Scenario 1: Stagnation

0

0

0

0

Scenario 2: Moderate growth

1.00

0.07

9.7

20

Scenario 3: Full development

3.00

0.20

31.8

70

 

 

 

 

 

Goldman-Sachs (Brics): Brazil to grow 4,2%
(= the optimistic scenario above)
     


BRICs to overtake G7 by 2032      FSP, 10.8.16



Demography | Income distribution

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